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\title{Explanation vs Performance in Data Mining: \\A Case Study with Predicting Runaway Projects}

\author{Tim~Menzies,\thanks{
Dr. Menzies is with the Lane Department of Computer Science and Electrical Engineering,
West Virginia University, USA; \protect\url{tim@menzies.us}.}
        Osamu Mizuno,\thanks{Dr. Mizuno is with
the Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, Osaka University; \protect\url{o-mizuno@ist.osaka-u.ac.jp}.}\\
Yasunari Takagi\thanks{Prof. Takagi is with  the Social Systems Business Group, OMRON Corporation, Japan; \protect\url{yasunari@omron.co.jp}.} 
and Tohru Kikuno\thanks{
Dr. Kikuno is with the Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, Osaka University; \protect\url{kikuno@ist.osaka-u.ac.jp}.}
%%\thanks{See \protect\url{http://menzies.us/pdf/07runaways.pdf} for an earlier draft of this paper.
%%Manuscript received April 15, 2007; revised ???  ??, 2007.}
}

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